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Cleitinho leads comfortably in Minas and would beat Patrus in the runoff, Atlas/Estadão poll shows

Poll shows Republicanos senator with 41,8% in the first round; Kalil drops to 5% and loses ground in all runoff scenarios.

Cleitinho leads comfortably in Minas and would beat Patrus in the runoff, Atlas/Estadão poll shows

A new round of the Atlas/Estadão poll, released this Tuesday (29), confirms the isolated leadership of Senator Cleitinho Azevedo (Republicanos) in voting intentions in Minas Gerais.

First round

The parliamentarian appears with 41,8% of preferences, followed by federal deputy Patrus Ananias (PT), who scores 33,6%. Mateus Simões (PSD) comes in third, with 6,2%.

Former Belo Horizonte mayor Alexandre Kalil (PDT) recorded a sharp drop and now appears with only 5%, even behind Flávio Roscoe (PL), who has 4,9%.

Second round

Cleitinho also wins all simulated scenarios. Against Patrus Ananias, the score is 53,5% to 40,3%. Against Kalil, the advantage rises to 51,6% to 35,2%.

When Patrus is tested against other names, the PT member leads over Mateus Simões and Flávio Roscoe.

Methodology

The survey interviewed 1.838 voters from Minas Gerais between 22 and 27 September through random digital recruitment. Margin of error is 2 percentage points, with a 95% confidence level. Registration with the Electoral Court: MG-04294/2026.

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