Poll reveals tight scenario for 2026
A new survey released on Tuesday the 15th by the Indexa institute points to President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) numerically ahead in the first-round presidential race. However, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) has reduced the distance and now stands in a technical tie.
Methodology details
- The survey polled voters across the country
- Standard margin of error applied to the results
- Field date coincides with the study's publication
Lula maintains a slight point advantage, but the numbers show that any fluctuation within the margin could reverse the order.
Reaction of the main actors
The PT camp celebrates the leadership position, while Flávio Bolsonaro's allies highlight the recent advance as a sign of recovery. Consulted experts warn that there are still months until the election and that variables such as the economy and alliances could change the scenario.
Next steps
Indexa is expected to release new cuts of the research in the coming weeks, including second-round scenarios and voting intention by region.