Tight Dispute in Ceará
The latest poll from the Atlas institute reveals a technical tie scenario between Elmano de Freitas and Ciro Gomes in the race for the state government. With 49% and 47.6% respectively, the numbers fall within the margin of error, making it impossible to point to a clear leader.
The first round is scheduled for October 4, while a possible second round would take place on October 25.
How to Interpret the Data
- Margin of error: Indicates the possible interval for the real result; values within it configure a technical tie.
- Confidence level: Generally 95%, means that most polls should be correct within this variation.
- Sampling and period: The larger the number of interviewees and the more recent the collection, the greater the reliability.
Publication Criteria
The O POVO vehicle selects institutes with a proven track record of accuracy in the last presidential elections. Only group A companies, with a maximum error of 2.5 points, have guaranteed space. Polls must be registered with the Electoral Court, contracted by vehicles or entities without partisan ties and without self-financing from the institute.
Polling Aggregator
To reduce distortions, O POVO provides a tool that gathers multiple surveys and calculates averages, offering a more balanced view to the voter.