Tweet Markets · Ends on September 16, 2026 at 1:00 PM · Volume R$1
How many tweets will Elon Musk post from September 14 to 16?
Outcomes
| chance | |
|---|---|
| Less than 40 | 14% |
| 40-64 | 46% |
| 65-89 | 27% |
| 90-114 | 3% |
| 115-139 | 2% |
| 140-164 | 2% |
| 165-189 | 2% |
| 190-214 | 2% |
| 215-239 | 2% |
| 240+ | 2% |
Rules and resolution
This market resolves based on the number of tweets that Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X (Twitter) between 14/09/2026 at 12:00 (New York time) and 16/09/2026 at 12:00 (New York time).
Each range is a separate outcome, with its own "Yes" and "No". At the end of the period, the range containing the final count resolves "Yes" and all others resolve "No".
What counts:
- Posts from the main feed, quotes and reposts count.
- Replies DO NOT count. Replies that appear in the main feed are counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts count as long as they stay up long enough for the tracker to capture them (~5 minutes).
- Reposts from communities that the tracker does not capture do not count.
Renewal: the market is automatically recreated every 2 days, always at 12:00 New York time. Trading closes at the end of the period and resolution happens a few minutes later, 100% automatically.