Tweet Markets · Ends on September 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM · Volume R$0
How many tweets will Elon Musk post from September 24 to 26?
Outcomes
| chance | |
|---|---|
| Less than 40 | 50% |
| 40-64 | 50% |
| 65-89 | 50% |
| 90-114 | 50% |
| 115-139 | 50% |
| 140-164 | 50% |
| 165-189 | 50% |
| 190-214 | 50% |
| 215-239 | 50% |
| 240+ | 50% |
Rules and resolution
This market resolves based on the number of tweets that Elon Musk (@elonmusk) will post on X (Twitter) between 24/09/2026 at 12:00 (New York time) and 26/09/2026 at 12:00 (New York time).
Each range is a separate outcome, with its own "Yes" and "No". At the end of the period, the range that contains the final count resolves to "Yes" and all others resolve to "No".
What counts:
- Main feed posts, quotes and reposts count.
- Replies do NOT count. Replies that appear in the main feed are counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts count as long as they stay up long enough for the tracker to capture (~5 minutes).
- Reposts from communities that the tracker does not capture do not count.
Resolution source: the post counter from xtracker.polymarket.com (Polymarket Post Tracker), queried for the window above. If the tracker fails, the social network itself may be used as a secondary source.
Renewal: the market is automatically recreated every 2 days, always at 12pm New York time. Trading closes at the end of the period and resolution happens a few minutes later, in a 100% automatic manner.