Elections · Ends on October 4, 2026 at 3:00 AM · Volume R$0
Who will win the first round of Brazil's 2026 presidential election?
Outcomes
| chance | |
|---|---|
| Lula | 50% |
| Flávio Bolsonaro | 50% |
| Ronaldo Caiado | 50% |
| Zema | 50% |
| Renan Santos | 50% |
| Pablo Marçal | 50% |
| Writer Augusto Cury | 50% |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | 50% |
| Clariana Barao | 50% |
| Hertz Dias | 50% |
| Samara | 50% |
| Veterinarian Wilson Grassi | 50% |
Rules and resolution
In this market, you predict who will receive the most votes in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election scheduled for October 4, 2026. The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) is the body responsible for the official counting of votes in Brazil. This market resolves for the candidate who obtains the largest number of valid votes by 4 de outubro de 2026, 23:59 (Brasília time). Each option is a separate outcome, with its own "Yes" and "No". Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves to "Yes" for the candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round, based on the official results released by the TSE.
- Resolves to "No" for all other candidates.
- In case of a tie, the tiebreaker follows the alphabetical order of the full names.
- If the result is not known by June 30, 2027, 23:59 ET, the market resolves to "Other".
Resolution source: Superior Electoral Court (TSE)