World · Ends on September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM · Volume R$343
Will Drake release a new album by September 30, 2026?
Outcomes
| chance | |
|---|---|
| Yes | 50% |
| No | 50% |
Rules and resolution
In this market, you predict whether Drake will release a new album by September 30, 2026. Drake is a Canadian rapper and singer whose studio releases are closely followed by the public and the industry. International prediction houses like Polymarket and Kalshi maintain markets on the date of the next album. This market only asks whether the album will be officially released by the end of September 2026, with a deadline of September 30, 2026, 23:59 (Brasília time).
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new studio album between the creation of this market and September 30, 2026, 23:59 (Brasília time) — equivalent to September 30, 2026, 19:59 Pacific Time (Los Angeles).
- "Official release" means the new album is available for download or streaming on official platforms (e.g., Spotify, Apple Music). Live performances, singles, EPs, and mixtapes do not count as an album.
- Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, and collections do not count, unless they contain at least 50% of tracks never before officially released.
- If the album is not available by the deadline, the market resolves to "No". Announcements, pre-sales, or tracklists released without making the album available do not count as a release.
- In case of ambiguous dates between time zones, the moment when the album becomes effectively available for streaming/download on official platforms applies.
- If the official reference sources (Polymarket and Kalshi) cancel their equivalent markets, this market is canceled and the values are refunded.